Addressing how to manage the science-policy interface, this book presents a philosophical study of the issues surrounding uncertainty in scientific simulation, particularly concerning the role it plays in public policy regarding climate change. The author, who participated in the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) plenaries in 2001 and 2007, discusses the assessment reports and workings of the IPCC. This second edition reflects the latest developments in climate change policy.
Introduction. Simulation Practice, Uncertainty and Policy Advice: The Practice of Scientific Simulation. A Typology of Uncertainty in Scientific Simulation. Assessment of Simulation Uncertainty for Policy Advice. The Case of Simulating Climate Change: The Practice of Climate Simulation. Uncertainties in Climate Simulation. Assessments of Climate-Simulation Uncertainty for Policy Advice. Conclusions.